The massive tax and budget bill President Trump signed into law this month could prove a major challenge for Republicans in the 2026 midterm elections — but probably not in the places that will be hurt the most by it.

Whether the American public comes to see the “Big Beautiful Bill” as “beautiful” remains to be seen. A June 26 Quinnipiac poll found 29% of voters support the bill, 55% opposed it, and 16% did not have an opinion. What’s clear is that Democrats will hold the bill against Trump during the 2026 midterm election campaign season.