Wagering is affecting nearly every aspect of the midterms — from campaigns to election officials, voters, donors and traders ...

Lichtman told Newsweek why President Donald Trump didn't qualify in "Great American Presidents: The Twelve Who Transformed ...

The 2025 football season and 2024 presidential election pushed prediction markets into the prominence they enjoy today.

Pollsters approach this year’s midterm elections dogged by high-profile misfires in recent elections while facing challenges ...

Voters, donors and media increasingly use the betting platforms Kalshi and Polymarket to forecast election outcomes. Critics ...

Prediction market platforms allow people to bet on real-world events like politics, culture, economics, war, and sports.

An Iowa judge has dismissed President Donald Trump's lawsuit against The Des Moines Register and its former pollster over a ...

Kentucky Rep. Thomas Massie lost his primary to Trump-backed Ed Gallrein, then predicted the president will face a reckoning on Election Day. What he said and w ...

Prediction market trading on Kalshi and Polymarket doubled from May to July, mostly due to a large uptick in sports trading.

Nithya Raman holds an 11-point lead over Mayor Karen Bass in the Los Angeles mayor election, but a third of likely voters ...

James Talarico has gained ground in the closely watched Texas Senate race, with several prediction markets and election ...

“Valery Zidor falsely claimed to be an American citizen, not once, but on two voter registration forms, and then illegally ...