Consumption is an always effect of what actually matters: production. It’s a reminder that while “supply siders” are increasingly ridiculous, “supply-side economics” is a statement of the obvious: the ...

Consumption is an always effect of what actually matters: production. It’s a reminder that while “supply siders” are increasingly ridiculous, “supply-side economics” is a statement of the obvious: the ...

The Fed's GDPNow metric has come out, and it doesn't look very good. The figure is now projecting a negative change in real GDP for Q1 2025. Latest estimates put real GDP change at -2.8% YoY for Q1.

Forecasted economic activity was predicting a 2.7% contraction in Q1 real GDP based on Atlanta Fed's GDPNow data. Today’s official real GDP reading, crucial for Federal Reserve policy, showed a milder ...

Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. Ingmar Rentzhog is the CEO and founder of We Don’t Have Time. An actuary uses mathematics, statistics, and financial theory to ...