This is a preview. Log in through your library . Abstract ABSTRACT In this paper, the authors address the impact of uncertainty on estimates of transient climate sensitivity (TCS) of the globally ...

Please provide your email address to receive an email when new articles are posted on . An artificial intelligence chatbot estimated the likelihood of a diagnosis based on patients’ presentation and ...

Traders use Polymarket to predict outcomes, but the platform itself doesn't predict future events. It measures how the crowd currently estimates probability based on available information, similar to ...

An international team is currently closely tracking the near-Earth asteroid 2024 YR4. The impact probability estimates for the year 2032 has been reduced from a peak of 3 percent to below 0.001 ...

We justify and give error estimates for binomial approximations of game (Israeli) options in the Black-Scholes market with Lipschitz continuous path dependent payoffs ...

Please provide your email address to receive an email when new articles are posted on . In a recent survey study, nearly 80% of physicians overestimated the probability of successful patient outcomes ...

Some economists are predicting that US recession risk is rising, and a downturn could arrive before the year is out, but the supporting data to date is still thin. If the central bank does ease ...

Smarter people don’t just crunch numbers better—they actually see the future more clearly. Examining thousands of over-50s, Bath researchers found the brightest minds made life-expectancy forecasts ...