Dec 28, 2025 · (Probably!) Here is the second part of our year's end Over/Under contest. Read the full analysis → 338 Sunday Update: Final 2025 Polls Show Cracks in Liberal Support December 28, …

Find the latest Canada polls and electoral projections on 338Canada.

Jul 16, 2023 · 338Canada is a statistical model of electoral projections based on opinion polls, electoral history, and demographic data.

Dec 28, 2025 · likely likely Majority: 172 seats 1. Cape Spear LPC safe CAPSP 2. Acadie—Bathurst LPC safe ACABA 3. Winnipeg South Centre LPC safe WISOC 4. Orléans LPC safe ORLEA 5. Lac …

Complete map of latest 338Canada Electoral Projection Last update: December 28, 2025

CPC higher than 338 average CPC lower than 338 average LPC lower than 338 average LPC higher than 338 average Pollsters National LEG ARI ABA MSR NAN EKO IPS PAL RCO INN LATEST ALL …

338Canada is a statistical model of electoral projections based on opinion polls, electoral history, and demographic data. This website is the creation of Philippe J. Fournier, physics and astrophysics …

For more information of the 338 Ratings of Canadian Pollsters, visit this page. Here is the basic equation: The gamma exponent is usually ½ (hence, the square root of the sample size). The time …

Dec 28, 2025 · Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.

CEN CPBC NDP BCG Voting intentions % 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 2025 2025-01-01 2025-04-01 2025-07-01 2025-10-01 2026 2026-01-01 …